To be honest, even though I am currently going long on short-term trades~(10500 and have added about 9 coins ), emotionally I hope it falls a bit more so that the guy who opened the on-chain position gets wrecked. It's not for any other reason, just because this guy keeps expressing his emotions, making it seem like the rise and fall are all related to him. Is it possible that it’s just a coincidence…( It's making me emotional too: Even if I lose some money, I want to see you get liquidated.
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Additionally, the anticipated time for nonsense after May now seems to be delayed until July. Mainly due to personal reasons, I originally expected to resign in May, but actually need to wait until July. Topics like career, personal life, and the like are another story, and we can talk about it when there's an opportunity in the future. As for the market and the crypto space itself, we maintain the previous two judgments.
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May has ended, let's stretch a bit. The new highs were reached in the past two weeks, but they are limited compared to previous peaks. From a technical perspective, it won't immediately turn sharply downwards, but the relentless sentiment is no longer present. From a macro perspective, Trump plans to do harm again. However, the popularity of the term TACO itself indicates that the price sensitivity to Trump is weakening. Note that weakening does not mean absence; it simply means that the price will not fluctuate more than 10% just because he acts erratically. Looking at the US stock market fro
A month ago, if someone said that BTC could surge back to 100k from 75k, everyone would probably think it was a joke. But let's go back a bit. Three months ago, if someone said that BTC would surge to 110k and then pull back to 75k, many people would probably have said it was nonsense, especially since Trump coming into power was good for BTC. So there is a very critical top-level judgment here, whether this year is a trend market, entering a bull market, just a pullback; or because Trump is going crazy, is it a volatile market that will be hit from both sides? ( Here, we do not consider it a
It is expected that there will be a significant recovery of leisure and daily banter after May. Currently, all positions are in a hedging state, and 60% of the funds have been moved out of the stock market and diversified into stocks and a little gold. The main reason is not bearishness, but rather uncertainty; also, due to the lack of free time to engage in short-term trading, I will just leave it like this for now.
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Leek9Leek:
To add a comment, the lack of clarity is due to Trump, which has completely undermined predictability and past norms.
Record that, the post-00 generation Liang Xi made 20 million RMB by shorting in 2021, and then made 40 million dollars in short-term in 2025 after losing all the money. There are two very interesting points It is said that he shorting traded 43 times in a row with profits, even if the winning rate each time is 95%, the probability of winning 43 times in a row is only 11%. This means that he indeed has a high winning rate in specific market conditions, or there may be relatively certain rules under specific market conditions Pay attention to the key words, just "may be possible". The probabilit
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Just talk about the recent market trends. In one sentence, it's hard to distinguish between oscillation and trend. At the beginning, when it dropped from 98k to 90k, it was seen as a shake and still long. I was afraid to further short when it dropped to 84k, fearing that I would be liquidated by adding more positions. However, I later found that there was no continuous drop without any liquidation. I shorted from 85k by following the trend. Then it fell to 78k, but it returned to 84k overnight, and violently surged back to 95k on Sunday, hitting the stop loss directly. The view has changed bac
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What I admire most about this round is the position of the contract and the bulldozer-like decline. After each round of partial needle insertion, the position will decrease, and then rise again And after each round of increase in position, it will bring about the next round of partial decline. It's like there are so many leek money in the field that you can't lose it, and there are so many power coins that you can't smash it, it's a match made in heaven...
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It ends here, already finished Hedging, holding Long Position Logically, the time from the closing of the US stock market today to tomorrow morning can continue to be inserted, but not bet.
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The price is falling again, the long-short ratio does not move, and the Position does not change... Leeks are bound to get hurt, but the longer they hold on, the greater the probability that I, who could have watched without injury, will be hit in the face with blood. Admit defeat, Azu, remember that old saying Early surrender is only half lost
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Accompanied a group of suckers and got 88k from 96k At 94k, 92k, 90k, 88k, it was surprising to find that the contract open interest did not decrease much after the price fell, and the long/short ratio instead reversed and rose. It's like saying most suckers haven't died, and there are still people coming in to long and trying to buy the bottom. In terms of technology and high level, the drop here has long been in place, 90k is already in place. But the long/short ratio of suckers scared me. Let's hedge out and watch for the night. The rebound still needs to rebound. Hedging out may even miss
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Recently, I have been busy with a series of trivial matters such as transitioning from handling compensation from ftx to work, so I don't have much time to chat. The judgment has not changed, at least half a year of turbulence upwards, now shaking.
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Basically, it's about making money in the chaos of on-chain, the ideal portrait is: physically fit, able to endure, young enough to afford to lose, with little cognition but also without any constraints. But looking back, just meeting the above requirements may not necessarily make money. It's like a hundred thousand people, each betting on big or small ten times in a row, and there are about 100 people who win ten times in a row and make 1024 times. The above portrait can only illustrate their willingness to participate in this game, not to misattribute
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This round, especially since the second half of 24 years, ETH has been really weak Today ETH dropped by $1,000 directly, and all the small positions that were taken have been liquidated. There is also a large position specifically for long ETH, although it did not get liquidated (1900强平), but it also retraced 60%. The issuance of Trump coin is a short-term emotional high point, and no one expected it to directly turn into an emotional low point two weeks later.
In the new year, in addition to expecting a bull market and the rise of personal wealth, the two most concerning aspects are: 1. Gameplay represented by chasing hotspots and PvP has achieved the achievement of a day's access to all mainstream exchanges. Will there be new gameplay in future transactions, or will it return to the original 'slow' pace? 2. The pursuit of Ethereum for "decentralized computing" has encountered the challenge of Sol, which is decentralized and often crashes, but is hot enough, how to find a way out As for the judgment of the market, let's talk about it after the Chine