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Tonight, the inflation data will become the focus of global financial markets. Against the backdrop of heightened market sensitivity, the release of this data could trigger a chain reaction, and investors need to pay close attention.
If the CPI data is below expectations, it will be seen as a signal that inflationary pressures are further easing. The market may interpret this as a hint that the Federal Reserve could accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts, which could stimulate a short-term rise in risk assets such as the stock market and cryptocurrencies, and market sentiment is expected to improve quickly.
On the contrary, if the CPI data is higher than expected, market concerns about the Federal Reserve delaying interest rate cuts may intensify. In this case, a rapid short-term decline may occur, and short sellers may take the opportunity to apply pressure, exacerbating market volatility.
If the data is generally in line with expectations, the market reaction may be relatively calm. Investors' attention may shift to other key events, such as the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting or the Producer Price Index (PPI) data, in search of new market direction guidance.
It is worth noting that regardless of how the data ultimately turns out, market volatility is almost inevitable, and the direction of the initial reaction may not accurately reflect the long-term trend. Especially in the first few minutes after the data is released, there may be instances of 'false breakouts' or 'false pullbacks', which can easily lead to a 'double kill' for both bulls and bears. For short-term traders, it is crucial to remain cautious and strictly control positions to avoid losses during periods of intense market sentiment fluctuations.
Overall, the release of this CPI data will provide important indicators of economic health for the market and may have a significant impact on short-term market trends. However, rational investors should consider this data within a broader economic context and make investment decisions in conjunction with other factors.