Bitcoin’s Big Drop And Treasury Trend Spark Bubble Warnings

HomeNews* More companies are following MicroStrategy by using a Bitcoin treasury model.

• Investors are buying shares in firms that hold bitcoin, often paying high premiums.
• Recent geopolitical events caused sharp fluctuations in bitcoin, dropping below $100,000 before recovering.
• Market reactions point to continued speculation and risk-taking among retail investors.
• Analysts observe that bitcoin appears less like a safe haven and more as a response to shifting global events. A growing number of small companies aim to replicate MicroStrategy’s strategy by holding significant amounts of bitcoin as part of their corporate treasury, recent reports show. Investors are providing capital to these firms, expecting the companies to use it to acquire bitcoin, sometimes at a considerable premium.

• Advertisement - Analysts indicate that this trend is being driven by investor anticipation of easy returns. This comes despite warnings that buying shares in companies solely for their bitcoin holdings, and paying a premium above the value of the bitcoin itself, carries risk. In the past week, bitcoin prices dropped below $100,000 before rebounding to above $99,000.

The author notes, “If this bitcoin treasury trend isn’t the final signal that the current rally is coming to an end, I don’t know what is.” Additionally, the article highlights that some investors use stocks of companies holding bitcoin as a substitute for bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or direct bitcoin custody, even if it means accepting higher costs.

Recent events in the Middle East have caused sharp moves in the prices of bitcoin, Gold, and oil. The article observes that bitcoin declined as equity markets reacted to news of military action, raising questions about its role as a non-correlated or “safe haven” asset. According to the author, “BTC dropped – supposedly because equities were falling on news of Iran’s bombing. This doesn’t support the idea of bitcoin as a haven or non-correlated asset.”

The piece also criticizes the current surge in optimistic narratives about bitcoin, including widespread claims that prices will reach extremely high values. The author advises caution for investors, suggesting they pay attention to how bitcoin, gold, and commodities respond to major global events. The article concludes by emphasizing that gold and defense-related stocks may offer greater stability in times of conflict, while oil remains an important asset for the aftermath of geopolitical shocks.

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