Recent financial market expectations for a rate cut by the Fed have been rising steadily. Data shows that the probability of a rate cut in September has exceeded 89%, almost becoming a foregone conclusion. This trend may accelerate the influence of political forces on personnel arrangements at the Fed.

At the same time, the cryptocurrency market has recently undergone a deep adjustment, and many investors believe this may herald a large-scale bubble in the crypto world before the end of the year.

However, there are still significant differences in the market's predictions regarding the extent of interest rate cuts. Some analysts believe it could be 50 basis points, while others support a cut of 65 basis points. However, some market participants hold a more aggressive view, anticipating that there could be a reduction space of 300 to 400 basis points before the end of the year.

It is worth noting that the connection between interest rate policy and political considerations has also sparked discussions. Some viewpoints suggest that if the current government wishes to maintain an advantage in the next election, it may lean towards lowering interest rates to around 1% this year.

Overall, in the coming months, the direction of U.S. monetary policy will affect the global financial markets, and investors need to closely monitor relevant trends and their potential impact on various assets.